Risk Alert: Grimsvötn Volcanic Eruption
Published on: 25-May- 2011 | Comments: 0
Iceland’s Grimsvötn volcano erupted on Saturday, May 21, generating an ash plume over Iceland and other parts of Europe, which has disrupted air traffic across the continent.
Effect on Air Traffic
The eruption has led to significant flight cancellations in the U.K. Norway, Iceland, and Germany. However, officials reported on May 25 that the ash cloud was expected to dissipate shortly, after the volcano ceased spewing ash. Airlines and airports are expected to return to normal operations soon. Transportation authorities, airlines, and other organizations continue to monitor the situation closely.
Risk Management Implications
Organizations affected by last year’s volcanic eruption can apply lessons learned from that event to mitigate any potential impacts of the Grimsvötn eruptions. Specifically, organizations should consider:
- accounting for the whereabouts of all affected (i.e. potentially stranded) colleagues and ensuring that human resources policies for dealing with temporary staff absences are in place and well understood by both management and the workforce;
- reviewing the availability of alternative arrangements, such as temporarily moving some activities to sites that may be less impacted and/or that have suitably experienced staff available, using a contracted workforce or fulfilling product demand via outsourcing to a competitor;
- determining how to best service customers, suppliers and other key stakeholders, including validating service-level expectations, providing early warnings of any problems and establishing disruption resolution workflows;
- revisiting the business impact analysis (BIA), with a focus on the consequences of breakages in the supply chain (i.e. the availability of transportation systems and routes, suppliers and inventory); and
- testing assumptions, business priorities and investment decisions based on the current volcano-event.
To manage supply chains, Marsh recommends that organizations consider alternative routes to market in the event that goods cannot be moved to planned purchasers in a timely manner. Organizations should also make provisions for additional storage of excess products, collaborate with air cargo handlers to ensure availability of capacity, and review contractual obligations with suppliers and key metrics such as service level impacts between two parties (fill rates).
View a video on supply chain risk management featuring Gary Lynch of Marsh Risk Consulting.
Property and Supply Chain Insurance
If a business suffers a direct loss to its own assets, considerations of coverage are straightforward. However, if there is indirect interruption related to the volcanic eruption, a business should review its property policies and relevant extensions and clauses to understand how they might respond to the event. Such extensions and clauses include supplier extensions, customer policy extensions, and denial of access clauses, but these usually only apply where damage has occurred.
While a volcano-related disruption would typically fall under a property policy's earthquake coverage — even if the policy has ingress-egress or civil authority time element extensions — it requires that physical damage occurs which causes a lack of access to the insured's location. Policies often have distance and time limitations defining where the damage must occur.
An available alternative to such traditional property policies is supply chain insurance, which provides coverage for both damage and nondamage related incidents affecting a named supply and named supplier (of a product or service). The trigger to these policies is interruption to production of service due to supply failure; the April 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption, for example, would have provided such a trigger. The basis of cover is not full indemnity, as the loss calculations are used to establish loss of gross profit per day/working period; a fixed claim amount is agreed up front. This insurance provides wider coverage in terms of events and more certainty of cover due to the pre-agreed claim levels.
Marsh will continue to monitor and advise on evolving conditions related to the Grimsvötn volcanic eruption.
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